The ASX 200 rallied off support at 4350 and is testing long-term resistance at 4450. Rising troughs on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicate buying pressure. Breakout above 4450 would signal a primary up-trend, with an initial target of 4900*. Reversal below the rising trendline remains as likely, because of weakness in the US and Asia, and would suggest another correction.
* Target calculation: 4450 + ( 4450 – 4000 ) = 4900
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients.
Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.