The ASX 200 jumped sharply yesterday but ran into resistance at 7800 today. Declining peaks on the Trend Index warn of secondary selling pressure and another test of support at the recent lows (orange line) is likely.
![ASX 200](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xjo.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
The 6-month chart shows the up-trend losing momentum. Breakout above 7900 is less likely but would offer a target of 8200.
![ASX 200](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xjo2.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
Economy
The real cash rate (cash rate minus CPI) remains close to zero, reflecting easy monetary policy despite rate hikes in 2023.
![Real Cash Rate](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-aus-realcashrate.gif?resize=650%2C528&ssl=1)
But declining credit growth warns that economic growth is slowing.
![Credit & Broad Money Growth](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-aus-credit-broadmoney-growth.gif?resize=650%2C532&ssl=1)
Consumer sentiment is lower than in the 2008 financial crisis — the result of high inflation from negative real interest rates after the pandemic.
![Consumer Sentiment](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-aus-consumersentiment.gif?resize=650%2C609&ssl=1)
Sectors
The 6-month chart of Financials shows the up-trend losing momentum, as with the ASX 200.
![ASX 200 Financials](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xfj.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
Net interest margins of the major banks remain under pressure.
![Major Bank Net Interest Margins](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-aus-major-banks-net-interest-margin.gif?resize=650%2C571&ssl=1)
Consumer Staples are in a down-trend after breaking primary support (red below). Trend Index peaks at zero warn of selling pressure.
![ASX 200 Staples](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xsj.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
A-REITs are still in an up-trend but declining Trend Index peaks warn of selling pressure.
![ASX 200 A-REITs](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xpj.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
Health Care threatened a primary down-trend after breaking support at 42K but has since recovered — a bullish sign.
![ASX 200 Health Care](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xhj.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
Consumer Discretionary is also losing momentum — similar to Financials.
![ASX 200 Discretionary](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xdj.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
Telecommunications are in a strong down-trend, with the Trend Index breaking below zero.
![ASX 200 Telecommunications](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xtj.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
Information Technology is outperforming, with accelerating trendlines and rising Trend Index troughs above zero.
![ASX 200 Information Technology](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xij.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
Utilities is another bright star, displaying similar accelerating trendlines and rising Trend Index troughs above zero.
![ASX 200 Utilities](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xuj.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
Energy is testing primary support at 10K with a bearish Trend Index declining below zero.
![ASX 200 Energy](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xej.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
The ASX 300 Metals & Mining index is attempting a recovery. Breakout above 6100 would be a bullish sign, while respect would warn of another test of primary support at 5600.
![ASX 300 Metals & Mining](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xmm.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
The All Ordinaries Gold index is in a strong up-trend. Respect of support at 7500 would signal another advance with a target of 8500. Breach of support, however, would signal another test of 7000.
![All Ordinaries Gold Index](https://i0.wp.com/www.incrediblecharts.com/images/2024/2024-05-08-xgd.png?resize=650%2C500&ssl=1)
Conclusion
The ASX 200 is losing momentum. So are Financials, A-REITs and Consumer Discretionary.
Staples and Telecommunications are in a down-trend and likely to be joined by Energy.
Health Care and Metals & Mining show signs of recovery but further confirmation is needed.
The All Ordinaries Gold index is in a strong up-trend. Respect of support at 7500 would confirm another advance but breach of support, while less likely, would test 7000.
Acknowledgements