The ASX 200 index is headed for a test of resistance at 4170 after forming a higher trough. Breakout would indicate a rally to test 4450. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero would strengthen the signal. In the long term, breakout above 4450 would signal a primary up-trend, but that may be some way off. Reversal below 3990 seems just as remote but would signal another primary decline.
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients.
Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.