ASX buying pressure

The ASX 200 index is once again testing resistance at 4350. Rising 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure. Breakout would signal a primary advance to 4700*. Respect of resistance is less likely, but would suggest another test of primary support at 3850.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4350 + (4350 – 4000 ) = 4700

The All Ordinaries is similarly testing resistance at 4400, while rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates long-term buying pressure. Breakout would offer a target of 4800*.

All Ordinaries Index

* Target calculation: 4400 + ( 4400 – 4000 ) = 4800

ASX 200 threatens support

The ASX 200 index is testing medium-term support at 4150. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Failure of support would test the primary level at 3850.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 3900 – ( 4300 − 3900 ) = 3500

A weekly chart of the All Ords shows a primary down-trend. Failure of support at 4200 would test 3900. Completion of a peak below zero on 63-day Twiggs Momentum would suggest another decline.

All Ordinaries Index Weekly Chart

* Target calculation: 4000 – ( 4500 − 4000 ) = 3500

ASX 200 runs into resistance

The ASX 200 encountered selling pressure at 4350, as indicated by the tall shadow (or “wick”) on Monday’s candle. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow also indicates medium-term selling pressure. Failure of support at 4150 would signal another test of primary support at 3850. Upward breakout is less likely but would offer a target of 4850*.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4350 + ( 4350 – 3850 ) = 4850

Australia retraces to find support

The ASX 200 broke out above its descending trendline — warning that the down-trend was ending — but ran into selling pressure. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow confirms the tall shadow on Friday’s candle. Respect of support at 4100 would suggest a primary up-trend, while failure would re-test primary support at 3850.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4300 + ( 4300 – 3900 ) = 4700

Support levels are clearer on the weekly chart.

ASX 200 Index Weekly

ASX 200 fails to respond to Dow surge

Dow Jones Industrial Average broke its declining trendline Monday, surging strongly, but light volume indicates hesitancy on the part of buyers.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000

Asian stocks reacted with enthusiasm but Shanghai, after gapping up at the open, fell sharply, giving up most of its gains. The ASX 200 response was muted, with a narrow range and low volume indicating hesitancy from buyers. Reversal below Monday’s low of 4150 would signal another test of 3850. Failure of support would offer a target of 3600*.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 3900 – ( 4200 – 3900 ) = 3600