Gold falls despite soft Dollar

Spot Gold broke support at $1250. Follow-through below $1240 would signal another test of primary support at $1200.

Spot Gold

But the Dollar Index is also falling. Breach of 96.50 warns of a decline to the 2016 low at 92/93.

Dollar Index

Dollar weakness is even reflected by a test of long-term support at 6.80 against the Yuan. Breach of the rising trendline on the monthly chart would warn of a primary down-trend.

Dollar Index

Let me put it this way: recovery of gold above $1250 would not be a surprise. And would test resistance at $1300.