Big Banks See Better Than 50/50 Odds of QE3 – Real Time Economics – WSJ

Wall Street’s biggest banks expect the Federal Reserve‘s 0% interest rates to persist into at least 2014, and see good odds the Fed will provide additional stimulus to the economy in the near term, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey of primary dealers.

…..The median expectation that the Fed could provide additional stimulus in the form of bond buying that would push the balance sheet beyond its current $2.9 trillion level stands at 60% over the year.

via Big Banks See Better Than 50/50 Odds of QE3 – Real Time Economics – WSJ.

Dollar Index

The Dollar Index is testing primary support at 73.00. Penetration of the declining long-term trendline is only tentative at this stage and failure of support would warn of a down-swing to 70.00*. Announcement of QE3 by the Fed on Friday would cause a sharp fall, while absence of further easing would strengthen support.

US Dollar Index

* Target calculation: 73 – ( 76 – 73 ) = 70