Bond spreads: Financial risk is easing

Bond spreads are an important indicator of risk in financial markets. When corporate bond yields are at a substantial premium to Treasury yields, that indicates higher default risk among large corporations. The graph below, from the RBA chart pack, shows the premium charged for AA-rated corporations compared to US Treasuries. Anything over 150 basis points (bps) indicates elevated risk. For lower-rated BBB corporations, a spread greater than 300 bps is cause for concern. At present, both credit spreads are trending lower, suggesting that financial risk is easing.

US Credit Spreads

Australia displays a similar picture, with AA-rated spreads trending lower. BBB spreads are also falling but remain high at 200 bps relative to 150 bps in the US, reflecting Australia’s vulnerability to commodities and real estate (both here and in China).

Australian Credit Spreads

Getting The Most Out Of Your Bond ETFs

Market cap weighting has long been the traditional strategy for not only ETFs, but almost all basket funds. But as the ETF industry expanded, many have realized the benefits of alternative weighting strategies as a number of them outdid their cap-weighted counterparts. More recently these strategies have waded into fixed income territory and yielded several interesting bond ETF products:

  • SPDR Barclays Capital Issuer Scored Corporate Bond ETF (CBND) – This ETF uses three fundamental factors to determine the weight given to each debt it holds: return on assets, interest coverage, and current ratio.
  • Fundamental High Yield Corporate Bond Portfolio (PHB) – This product uses the RAFI approach to selecting its holdings using four factors: book value of assets, gross sales, gross dividends, and cash flow–each based on five-year averages. Note that PHB is classified in the high yield or “junk bond” category.
  • Fundamental Investment Grade Corporate Bond (PFIG) – PFIG also uses the RAFI weighting methodology, but instead applies it to investment grade corporate bonds.

via Getting The Most Out Of Your Bond ETFs.

The Problem With Your Bond Fund – SmartMoney.com

Twenty years ago the average bond fund cost $100 in sales charges and yearly expenses for each $10,000 invested, according to the Investment Company Institute. At the time, $10,000 was enough to produce a yearly income of $825 in 10-year Treasury bonds and $1,050 in corporate bonds rates Baa (“moderate credit risk”) by Moody’s.

The good news: last year, bond fund fees averaged $70 per $10,000 invested. The bad: $10,000 put in the same Treasurys or corporate bonds now provides only $220 or $540 in yearly income, respectively.

via The Problem With Your Bond Fund – SmartMoney.com.