India retraces

The Sensex Index is retracing to test its new support level. Respect of 17200 would indicate that the up-trend is intact, while failure would warn of another test of primary support at 15000. Long-term buying pressure remains healthy if 13-week Twiggs Money Flow forms a trough above the zero line.

BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 18000 + ( 18000 – 15000 ) = 21000

The Nifty Index is similarly testing support at 5200. Recovery above 5600 would confirm the primary up-trend. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum above zero suggests a healthy up-trend.

NSE Nifty Index

* Target calculation: 5400 + ( 5400 – 4600 ) = 6200

India & Singapore retrace

India’s Sensex index retraced to test support at 18000 on the daily chart. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term selling pressure; respect of the zero line would suggest a strong primary up-trend. Respect of 17,000 on the index chart would also be a bullish sign.

BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 18000 + ( 18000 – 15000 ) = 21000

Singapore’s Straits Times Index (weekly chart) also shows retracement. Expect a test of support at 2900. Respect of the zero line by 63-day Twiggs Momentum would confirm a strong up-trend, with an initial target of 3200*.

Singapore Straits Times Index

* Target calculation: 2900 + ( 2900 – 2600 ) = 3200

India Singapore breakout

India’s Nifty Index broke through resistance at 5400, following breakout from its downward trend channel, to signal the start of a primary up-trend. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero strengthens the signal.

NSE/S&P Nifty Index

* Target calculation: 5400 + ( 5400 – 4600 ) = 6200

The Sensex Index broke through 18000 to confirm the Nifty signal, following an earlier bullish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow. Target for the advance is 21000*.

BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 18000 + ( 18000 – 15000 ) = 21000

Singapore Straits Times Index cleared resistance at 2900, signaling a primary up-trend. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero strengthens the signal. Expect retracement to test the new support level.

Singapore Straits Times Index

* Target calculation: 2900 + ( 2900 – 2600 ) = 3200

India and Singapore bullish

India’s Sensex is testing resistance at 18000, while a sharply rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates strong (medium-term) buying support. Breakout would offer a target of 21000*.

BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 18000 + ( 18000 – 15000 ) = 21000

NSE/S&P Nifty Index is similarly testing resistance at 5400. Target for a breakout would be 6200*.

NSE/S&P Nifty Index

* Target calculation: 5400 + ( 5400 – 4600 ) = 6200

The Singapore Straits Times index has broken through resistance at 2900. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero strengthens the signal. Expect retracement to test the new support level, but target for the advance is 3200*.

Straits Times Index

* Target calculation: 2900 + ( 2900 – 2600 ) = 3200

Singapore breakout and Indian buying pressure

BSE Sensex broke out of its trend channel last week, signaling the primary down-trend is weakening. A sharp rise in 13-week Twiggs Money Flow confirms buying pressure. Breakout above 18000 would indicate the start of a new up-trend, with an initial target of 20500*.

BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 18000 + ( 18000 – 15500 ) = 20500

Singapore Straits Times Index held onto its gains, closing the week above 2900. Expect a primary advance with a target of 3200*.

Singapore Straits Times Index

* Target calculation: 2900 + ( 2900 – 2600 ) = 3200

India & Singapore retreat

India’s NIFTY index encountered resistance at 5200. Respect of the upper trend channel — and 63-day Twiggs Momentum respecting the zero line (from below) — would suggest a down-swing to test the lower trend channel.

NSE/S&P Nifty Index

The BSE Sensex also retreated from its upper trend channel but rising 13-week Twiggs Money indicates buying pressure. Follow-through above the recent high at 17250 would signal declining momentum — and that a base is forming.

BSE Sensex Index

Singapore’s Straits Times Index also retreated, but from resistance at 2900. Follow-through above the recent high would confirm the higher trough and the start of a primary up-trend. Target for the initial advance is 3200*. Respect of resistance is less likely, but would warn of another test of primary support at 2600.

Straits Times Index

* Target calculation: 2900 + ( 2900 – 2600 ) = 3200

Asia: Shanghai weakens but India displays support

China’s Shanghai Composite index has been edging lower since breaking support at 2400. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum, declining below zero, confirms a primary down-trend. Expect a test of the 2008 low at 1700 in the months ahead.

Shanghai Composite Index

* Target calculation: 2400 – ( 3200 – 2400 ) = 1600

India’s Sensex Index broke support at 16000 but then retraced to test the new resistance level. An encouraging bullish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow shows buying pressure. Breakout above 16000 would indicate a rally to 18000. Respect of resistance, however, would confirm the down-swing to 14000*.


BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 16 – ( 18 – 16 ) = 14

Singapore’s Straits Times Index follows a similar course to India. Recovery above 2900 would signal a (primary trend) reversal.

Singapore Straits Times Index


Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index faces similar resistance at 20000. Respect would indicate another test of 16000, while breakout would signal a reversal.

Hong Kong Hang Seng Index


The weekly chart shows Japan’s Nikkei 225 index on a similar path to Shanghai — headed for a test of its 2008/9 lows. Failure of medium-term support at 8200 would strengthen the signal. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of selling pressure.

Nikkei 225 Index

* Target calculation: 9 – ( 11 – 9 ) = 7

South Korea’s Seoul Composite index is testing resistance at 1920 but bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Reversal below 1800 would suggest another test of support at 1650. Upward breakout is unlikely but would indicate a (primary trend) reversal.

Seoul Composite Index

India holds

The SENSEX is testing primary support but has so far (Tuesday 12:30 p.m.) held above 15800. Breakout would signal a primary decline to 14000*. The peak below zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of strong selling pressure.

BSE SENSEX Index

* Target calculation: 16 – ( 18 – 16 ) = 14

India warns of primary decline, Singapore may follow

India’s SENSEX broke through support at 15800/16000, signaling a primary decline to 14000*. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero confirms strong selling pressure. The index later recovered above 16000 Monday; we will have to wait to see whether the new support level holds.

BSE SENSEX Index

* Target calculation: 16 – ( 18 – 16 ) =14

The monthly chart shows Singapore’s Straits Times Index headed for a test of primary support at 2500. Long-term bearish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum indicates a primary down-trend. Failure of support would signal a primary decline to 2100*.

Straits Times Index

* Target calculation: 2500 – ( 2900 – 2500 ) = 2100

Singapore Straits Times Index & Indian Sensex

The Straits Times Index broke through 2700, warning of another primary down-swing. The decline of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero indicates a primary down-trend. Target for the initial down-swing is 2100*.

Straits Times Index

* Target calculation: 2500 – ( 2900 – 2500 ) = 2100

India’s BSE Sensex Index broke the band of primary support at 15800 to 16000, warning of a decline to 14000*. Repeated peaks below zero on 63-day Twiggs Momentum indicate a strong primary down-trend.

BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 16 – ( 18 – 16 ) = 14