Bellwether transport stock Fedex is consolidating in a narrow band above the neckline of a double top reversal at $88. Follow-through below $85 would confirm a primary down-trend, warning of a slow-down in the broader economy. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would strengthen the signal. Recovery above $90 is less likely, but would suggest continuation of the primary up-trend.
Bellwether transport stock Fedex recovered above the neckline at $88, after completing a double top reversal, but continues to test support at that level. Reversal below $88 would confirm a primary down-trend, warning of slowing activity in the broader economy. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates continued selling pressure.
Bellwether transport stock Fedex completed a double top reversal with a break through the neckline at $88. Retracement found resistance at $90 and reversal below the original neckline at $88 would signal a primary down-trend. Follow-through below Tuesday’s low would confirm. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of strong selling pressure. A primary down-trend on Fedex normally warns of slowing activity in the broader economy.
The S&P 500 index broke medium-term support at 1200 and is headed for a test of the primary level at 1100. Failure would offer a target of 900*. The 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero warns of a primary down-trend.
* Target calculation: 1100 – ( 1300 – 1100 ) = 900
NASDAQ 100 index is similarly headed for the band of primary support between 2000 and 2050. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of strong selling pressure. failure of support would signal a primary decline to 1600*.
* Target calculation: 2000 – ( 2400 – 2000 ) = 1600
Dow Jones Industrial Average monthly chart shows the index testing medium-term support at 11000. The 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero again warns of a primary down-trend. Breach of support would test the primary level at 10400; and failure of that level would remove any doubt regarding a bear market.
* Target calculation: 10400 – ( 12300 – 10400 ) = 8500
The ASX 200 index is testing medium-term support at 4150. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Failure of support would test the primary level at 3850.
* Target calculation: 3900 – ( 4300 − 3900 ) = 3500
A weekly chart of the All Ords shows a primary down-trend. Failure of support at 4200 would test 3900. Completion of a peak below zero on 63-day Twiggs Momentum would suggest another decline.
* Target calculation: 4000 – ( 4500 − 4000 ) = 3500
The NASDAQ 100 index broke support at 2300 on the weekly chart, warning of a correction to test primary support at 2000. A large bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow now warns of a primary down-trend; reversal below zero would strengthen the signal. Failure of support at 2000 would confirm.
* Target calculation: 2000 – ( 2400 – 2000 ) = 1600
Dow Jones Industrial Average broke out below its recent pennant, warning of another test of primary support at 10600. Breach of support at 11600 would confirm the signal. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below its recent lows (-4%) would complete an “iceberg” — with the indicator just peaking above the zero line — indicating a primary down-trend.
* Target calculation: 10600 – ( 12200 – 10600 ) = 9000
Dow Jones Europe Index is testing medium-term support at 230. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Failure of support would test the primary level at 210 — and breach of primary support would signal another decline, with a target of 160*.
* Target calculation: 210 – ( 260 – 210 ) = 160
The ASX 200 encountered selling pressure at 4350, as indicated by the tall shadow (or “wick”) on Monday’s candle. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow also indicates medium-term selling pressure. Failure of support at 4150 would signal another test of primary support at 3850. Upward breakout is less likely but would offer a target of 4850*.
* Target calculation: 4350 + ( 4350 – 3850 ) = 4850
The ASX 200 broke out above its descending trendline — warning that the down-trend was ending — but ran into selling pressure. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow confirms the tall shadow on Friday’s candle. Respect of support at 4100 would suggest a primary up-trend, while failure would re-test primary support at 3850.
* Target calculation: 4300 + ( 4300 – 3900 ) = 4700
Support levels are clearer on the weekly chart.
Dow Jones Industrial Average broke through resistance at 12000. On the monthly chart we can see the index is headed for a test of its 2011 high at 13000. Breakout would signal an advance to 15000*. Bearish divergence on 63-Day Twiggs Momentum, however, continues to warn of a primary down-trend; and respect of 13000 would indicate another test of primary support at 11000.
* Target calculation: 13 + ( 13 – 11 ) = 15
Looking at the weekly chart, retracement to test the new support level at 12000 is likely. Respect would confirm the primary advance, while failure would signal another test of primary support at 10500/11000. A 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above the zero line would indicate strong buying pressure.
* Target calculation: 12 + ( 12 – 11 ) = 13
