Hint of Greek bailout revives rates (and the Dollar)

10-Year Treasury yields rallied on hint of a Greek bailout, although Tsipras still has to obtain approval from the Greek parliament. Breakout above 2.50% would offer an immediate target of 2.75% but the advance is likely to test major resistance at 3.00% in the longer term. Reversal below 2.25% is unlikely (unless there is a breakdown Greek/EZ negotiations) but would re-test the rising trendline at 2.10%.

The Dollar Index also rallied. Breakout above 97.5 would suggest another advance; confirmed if resistance at 100 is broken. Reversal below 93 is most unlikely but would warn of a primary down-trend.

* Target calculation: 100 + ( 100 – 93 ) = 107