Ukraine should sell its gas pipeline to stabilize the region

From OilPrice.com

Gas supply, and the threat to that supply for Europe, is what has forced Russia to move aggressively on multiple fronts to defeat Ukraine in its efforts to modernize and westernize its economy, its future, and its way of life.

So, how to start the liberalization process? Ukraine has argued that its gas transportation system is a strategic asset. Business-minded people take issue with this interpretation, which ignores the commercial potential of the pipeline system. Now that we have come full circle in a long-brewing Ukraine-Russia gas war, perhaps the pipeline should be considered “strategic” — if not in the way the Ukrainian authorities have long understood. The pipeline system, worth $20 to $30 billion, can indeed play a strategic and tactical role in resolving Ukraine’s crisis with Russia, but only if it’s sold off.

Ukraine should sell 50 to 75 percent of it for cash to a consortium involving the EU, U.S. and Russia and operated by a U.S. business enterprise, preferably based in Houston. This can only happen if Russia agrees to remove troops and other proxies in eastern Ukraine and then works with Ukraine to secure the border and cease all low-intensity conflict efforts, including on the ground, and in cyberspace and the trade arena….

Read more at EconoMonitor : EconoMonitor » 5 Things Ukraine Must Do to Become Energy Independent.

Iron ore crash – macrobusiness.com.au

Spot iron ore prices have shed 19 percent so far this month in a sell-off largely fueled by slower construction steel demand in China, the world’s biggest buyer of imported iron ore at around 400 million tonnes a year.

In Europe, a more important market for Vale than Rio, steel markets have taken a knock given uncertainty surrounding the region’s debt crisis.

Growth of Europe’s steel production will slow in 2012 along with activity in the steel-using sectors, Eurofer, the European steel producers association, has forecast.

via Iron ore crash – macrobusiness.com.au | macrobusiness.com.au.

European Crisis Primer: Where Things Stand – WSJ

The crucial talks between the European Union-European Central Bank-International Monetary Fund “Troika” with the Greek government remain on hold as Greece pulls together another six billion euros in cuts and taxes to hit its promised 2011 target. At stake is the next eight-billion-euro bailout payment, without which Greece goes broke within weeks.

via European Crisis Primer: Where Things Stand – Real Time Economics – WSJ.

Europe falls heavily at open

Dow Jones Europe Index collapsed at the open of European markets, breakout below 225 signaling another down-swing with a target of 185*. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum declining below zero indicates a strong primary down-trend.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 225 – ( 265 – 225 ) = 185

How the IMF Could Try to Bolster Economy – WSJ.com

Europe needs to create a tightly coordinated fiscal policy among nations, even though European voters are wary that would mean something akin to a United States of Europe. Ms. Lagarde, a former French finance minister who is in the honeymoon phase of her IMF presidency, has credibility in Europe. Her task: come up with a specific plan for a tighter union, which she could argue benefits ordinary Europeans.

via How the IMF Could Try to Bolster Economy – WSJ.com.

Europe breaks support

DJ Europe Index broke support at 225, signaling another down-swing to the 2010 low at 205. The calculated target is lower at 195.

DJ Europe Index

* Target calculation: 230 – ( 265 – 230 ) = 195

European stocks threaten breakout

DJ Europe Index ($E1DOW) reversed below 230, threatening another down-swing — with a target of 200. Twiggs Momentum oscillating below zero indicates a primary down-trend. Follow-through below 225 would confirm the bear signal.

DJ Europe

* Target calculation: 230 – ( 270 – 230 ) = 190

Europe crashes

Germany’s DAX Index is testing support at its 2010 low of 5400. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of further selling pressure. Failure of support would offer a target of 4500*.

Germany DAX Index

* Target calculation: 5500 – ( 6500 – 5500 ) = 4500

France has fallen well past its 2010 low, testing support at 3000. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow again warns of further selling pressure. Breach of 3000 would test the 2009 low of 2500.

France CAC-40 Index

* Target calculation: 3000 – ( 3700 – 3000 ) = 2300

Secondary markets are as badly affected. The Amsterdam AEX Index fell below its 2010 low, while 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of selling pressure.

Netherlands Amsterdam AEX Index

* Target calculation: 300 – ( 340 – 300 ) = 260