The JSE Overall Index completed a similar reversal to the Brazilian Bovespa, with a break above 31500. We can now see a similar ascending triangle below 33000. Upward breakout is likely and would signal a fresh advance to 37000*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow confirms buying pressure.
* Target calculation: 33 + ( 33 – 29 ) = 37
The Brazilian BOVESPA index is headed for another test of 48000. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of further selling pressure. Failure of support would signal a down-swing to 38000*.
* Target calculation: 48 – ( 58 – 48 ) = 38
South Africa’s JSE Overall Index fared better than most but is likely to be dragged lower by the global bear market. Expect a test of support at 28400; failure would signal a decline to 26000*.
* Target calculation: 28.5 – ( 31 – 28.5 ) = 26
Brazil’s Bovespa Index again found short-term support at 54000. Narrow consolidation is a bullish sign, suggesting upward breakout above 58000. Rising 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure. This is a strong rally for a bear market, but is not a sign yet that a base is forming.
South Africa’s Johannesburg Overall Index also made a reasonable rally before retreating below 30000. Penetration of the rising trendline would indicate another test of support at 28400.
The Brazilian Bovespa Index encountered strong resistance at 58000, the spike in volume [R] warning of selling pressure. Breach of the rising trendline would warn that the rally is fading and another test of support at 48000 is likely. Failure of support would offer a target of 38000*.
* Target calculation: 48 – ( 58 – 48 ) = 38
The bear rally on the Brazilian Bovespa Index has run out of steam and we can expect another test of support at 48000. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero signals continued selling pressure. Failure would offer a target of 38000*.
* Target calculation: 48000 – ( 58000 – 48000 ) = 38000
The JSE bear rally respected resistance at 30000. Money Flow is stronger, but reversal below 28000 would offer a target of 26000*.
* Target calculation: 28000 – ( 30000 – 28000 ) = 26000
