Shanghai weakens, ASX unaffected

China’s Shanghai Composite index broke support at 2150, signaling a correction to test primary support at 1950. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates selling pressure. Follow-through below 2100 would confirm. Recovery above 2150 is less likely, but would suggest a bear trap.

Shanghai Composite Index

Japan’s Nikkei 225 respected resistance at 15000. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow suggests medium-term selling pressure. Monday has so far posted gains and breakout above 15000 would signal an advance to 17500*, but reversal below the October low is as likely and would test primary support at 13200. Penetration of the rising trendline would warn of trend weakness.

Nikkei 225

* Target calculation: 15000 + ( 15000 – 12500 ) = 17500

India’s Sensex respected its 2007 and 2010 highs at 21000, retracing to test support at 20500. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure and breakout above 21000 would offer a long-term target of 24000*. Reversal below 20500 is unlikely, but would warn of another test of primary support at 18000.

Sensex

* Target calculation: 21000 + ( 21000 – 18000 ) = 24000

The ASX 200 posted a strong blue candle on Monday, but mild bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow warns the index is nearing its target and is due for retracement to test support at 5250/5300. In the longer term, however, troughs above zero reflect a healthy primary up-trend.

ASX 200

* Target calculation: 5300 + ( 5300 – 5150 ) = 5450