Australia’s ASX 200 retreated below the band of resistance at 4350/4400. Recovery above 4400 would confirm the primary up-trend signaled by the 63-day Twiggs Momentum cross to above zero. Target for an advance would be the 2011 high at 4900*.
* Target calculation: 4400 + (4400 – 3900) = 4900
On the daily chart, however, bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow highlights medium-term selling pressure, warning of a correction. Breach of the rising trendline and support at 4250 would confirm, signaling another test of primary support at 4000.

Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.