Bill Dudley, former FRBNY Pres and Goldman Sachs Chief US Economist says the Fed will have to drive up unemployment to keep inflation in check. When the Fed has done that in the past it has always resulted in a recession. Bond yields will have to rise and stocks will have to fall in order for the Fed to succeed in taming inflation.
Hat tip to Joseph Wang.
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients.
Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.