The Dollar Index rallied to test resistance at 95 in response to the latest Fed rate hike. Short retracement is a bullish sign.
Spot Gold retreated to $1280/ounce. Penetration of the rising trendline warns of a correction to test primary support at $1250. A Trend Index peak below zero warns of strong selling pressure.
Fortunately for Australian gold stocks, the Aussie Dollar broke primary support at 75, warning of a decline to 69/70 US cents. The Trend Index peak below zero warns of strong selling pressure.
The weaker Aussie Dollar boosted local gold stocks, with the All Ordinaries Gold Index breaking through resistance at 5100. Follow-through above 5250 would confirm another advance but expect retracement to first test the new support level.
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.