The ASX 200 rallied off support at 4350 and is testing long-term resistance at 4450. Rising troughs on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicate buying pressure. Breakout above 4450 would signal a primary up-trend, with an initial target of 4900*. Reversal below the rising trendline remains as likely, because of weakness in the US and Asia, and would suggest another correction.
* Target calculation: 4450 + ( 4450 – 4000 ) = 4900
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.