The ASX 200 fell sharply, headed for a test of its key support level at 4000. Low volume indicates weak support and downward breakout would signal a primary down-swing to 3500*.
* Target calculation: 4000 – ( 4500 – 4000 ) = 3500
Dow acid-test
The Dow is headed for the band of support between 10600 and 10800 — a real acid-test. Support is likely to fail unless we see a substantial increase in volume, indicating buying support. Breach of 10600 would confirm another down-swing with a target of 10000*.
* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000
ASX 200 threatens support
The ASX 200 is headed for another test of support at 4000. Declining volume displays no evidence of bargain-buying. Failure of support is likely and would offer a target of 3500*.
* Target calculation: 4000 – ( 4500 – 4000 ) = 3500
Bovespa
The Brazilian Bovespa Index encountered strong resistance at 58000, the spike in volume [R] warning of selling pressure. Breach of the rising trendline would warn that the rally is fading and another test of support at 48000 is likely. Failure of support would offer a target of 38000*.
* Target calculation: 48 – ( 58 – 48 ) = 38
It’s a bear market
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied Tuesday on fairly light volume. Expect resistance at 11500. This is a bear market, with reactions to good news likely to be short — and declines from bad news severe. Target for the next decline is 10000*.
* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000