The TSX Composite retreated below 12800, indicating hesitancy on the part of investors. Expect retracement to test support at 12500. Failure of support would signal a bull trap. Long-term buying pressure remains strong, with rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow; another trough above zero would confirm the primary up-trend. Recovery above 12800 would signal an advance to the 2011 high at 14300*.
* Target calculation: 12800 + ( 12800 – 11300 ) = 14300

Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.