Nomura's fresh alert on a Chinese hard landing | Telegraph Blogs

Ambrose Evans Pritchard writes:

Nomura’s early warning signal for the Chinese financial system – the China Stress Index – is flashing amber again…….Its case against China: “overinvestment and excessive credit; a rudimentary monetary policy architecture; too many privileges for state-owned enterprises; unintended consequences of financial liberalisation; the Lewis turning point; and growing pains from worsening demographics and increasing strains on natural resources”……..

via Nomura's fresh alert on a Chinese hard landing – Telegraph Blogs.

BOB JANJUAH: Time For Action, Warning Over – Business Insider

Sam Ro of Business Insider reports on Nomura strategist Bob Janjuah’s August 21 note:

“I now think the correct thing to do – as I also said in April and June – is to prepare for a serious risk-off phase between August and November,” [Janjuah] reiterated. “Over the August to November period I am looking for the S&P500 to trade off down from around 1400…by 20% to 25%…to trade at or below the lows of 2011.”

He argues that the key drivers of this sell-off will be disappointment at next week’s Federal Reserve Jackson Hole speech and realization that the ECB won’t be be able to deliver on their promises.

via BOB JANJUAH: Time For Action, Warning Over – Business Insider.