Tag: ASX 200 Index

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Asia: Singapore breakout, ASX 200 selling pressure

Singapore’s Straits Times Index broke long-term resistance at 3300, signaling an advance to the 2007 high of 3900*. Troughs above zero on 13-week Twiggs Momentum strengthen the signal.
DJ Shanghai Index

* Target calculation: 3300 + ( 3300 – 2700 ) = 3900

India’s Sensex followed through above resistance at 19000. Breach of the descending trendline would indicate a primary advance to 22000*. 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero, however, signals selling pressure and reversal below 19000 would warn of another test of primary support at 18000.
BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 20000 + ( 20000 – 18000 ) = 22000

China’s Shanghai Composite is again testing medium-term support at 2150. Failure of support would warn of a decline to test primary support at 1950/2000. Reversal above 2250, however, would penetrate the descending trendline, indicating another test of 2500.
Shanghai Composite Index

Japan’s Nikkei 225 continues to climb, with a steeply rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicating strong buying pressure. Target for the advance is 15000*.
Nikkei 225 Index

* Target calculation: 11500 + ( 11500 – 8000 ) = 15000

The ASX 200 is testing resistance at 5150. Breakout would offer a target of 5400*, but bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Failure of support at 4900 would signal a reversal.
ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 5150 + ( 5150 – 4900 ) = 5400

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Nikkei and ASX 200 rally, while China & Europe weaken

Respect of support at 1540 and the bottom trend channel indicates a S&P 500 rally to test 1600 and the upper channel line. Failure to break resistance at 1600 would warn of a correction as signaled by mild bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow.

S&P 500 Index

* Target calculation: 1350 + ( 1350 – 1100 ) = 1600

The FTSE 100 also respected support, at 6220, but a tall shadow on Monday warns of selling pressure. Reversal of 21-day Twiggs Money Flow below zero would strengthen the signal and breach of support (6220) would signal a test of the primary trendline at 6000.
FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6220 – ( 6420 – 6220 ) = 6020

Germany’s DAX broke medium-term support at 7500. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow peak at zero warns of selling pressure. Follow-through below 7400 would signal a test of primary support at 7000. Recovery above 7600 is unlikely, but would test the descending trendline at 7700.
DAX Index

* Target calculation: 7500 – ( 8000 – 7500 ) = 7000

India’s Sensex broke resistance at 19000. Respect of support at 18000 and the rising trendline indicates the primary trend is intact. Mild bullish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow signals buying pressure. Expect consolidation or short retracement, but follow-through above the descending trendline at 19200 would indicate an advance to 20000.
BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 19000 + ( 19000 – 18000 ) = 20000

China’s Shanghai Composite is testing medium-term resistance at 2250. Breakout would penetrate the descending trendline, indicating the correction is over.
Shanghai Composite Index
Unfortunately the Dow Jones Shanghai Index respected the descending trendline Tuesday, indicating another down-swing to the lower trend channel.
DJ Shanghai Index

Japan’s Nikkei 225 is the star performer, when measured in Yen. Sharp rallies, with frequent gaps, followed by short retracements indicates a strong up-trend. As does 21-day Twiggs Money Flow oscillating clear above the zero line.
Nikkei 225 Index

The ASX 200 met some resistance at 5020, but rising 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure and breakout would signal a test of 5150.
ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 5025 + ( 5025 – 4900 ) = 5150

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Australia: ASX 200 breakout

The ASX 200 is testing resistance at 4600. Breakout is likely — following bullishness in Europe and Asia — and would signal an advance to 4900*.  The 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero suggests a strong primary up-trend. Respect of resistance is not expected but would retrace to test the rising trendline at 4450.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4600 + ( 4600 – 4300 ) = 4900

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Australia: ASX 200 retreats

The ASX 200 found resistance at 4540 after a strong rally. Reversal below 4500 would indicate retracement to test support at 4450. Breach of the falling trendline indicates the correction is over. Respect of 4450 would confirm. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would signal medium-term buying pressure. Breakout above 4580 would indicate a primary advance to 4800*.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4580 + ( 4580 – 4350 ) = 4810

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Australia: ASX 200 resistance

The ASX 200 encountered resistance at the descending trendline — around 4450. A sharp rise in 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates short-term buying pressure. Breakout would indicate a primary advance to 4750*. Retreat below 4400 is less likely but would suggest a decline to 4250.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4550 + ( 4550 – 4350 ) = 4750

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Australia: ASX 200 and Shanghai find support

The ASX 200 found short-term support at 4350. Expect a rally to test the declining trendline at 4450 but this does not indicate the end of the correction. The 21-day Twiggs Money Flow peak below zero reflects medium-term selling pressure. Respect of resistance at 4450 would signal another decline.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4450 + ( 4450 – 4000 ) = 4900

Dow Jones Shanghai Index broke its September low of 249 but rallied strongly towards the close. Bullish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure. Follow-through above 250 would indicate a rally to the October high of 266.
DJ Shanghai Index

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Australia: ASX 200 falls

The ASX 200 broke support level at 4400, warning of a correction. Respect of medium-term support at 4250 would suggest another primary advance, while a test of primary support at 4000 would indicate an aimless market.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4450 + ( 4450 – 4000 ) = 4900

A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow peak below zero on the daily chart reflects medium-term selling pressure.
ASX 200 Index

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Australia: ASX 200 tests support

The ASX 200 is testing its new support level at 4400/4450. Reversal below 4400 would warn of a test of primary support at 4000. A 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero, however, would indicate strong buying pressure. Respect of support and follow-through above 4600 would signal an advance to 4900*.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4450 + ( 4450 – 4000 ) = 4900

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Australia: ASX 200 trend channel

The ASX 200 failed to hold on to early gains Monday. Reversal of 21-day Twiggs Money Flow below zero indicates medium-term selling pressure. Expect a test of the lower trend channel. Weakness in US or Asian markets could cause a breach of the 4400 support level, indicating a correction to 4000. Respect of support, however, would indicate a healthy up-trend — and an advance to 4900*.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4450 + ( 4450 – 4000 ) = 4900

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Australia: ASX 200 test of 4400

The ASX 200 is retracing to test support at 4400/4450. Respect would confirm a primary advance to 4900*. But correction in US markets is likely and would cause a breach of the ASX 200 rising trendline. Respect of 4250, however, would still indicate a healthy up-trend — as would a 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4450 + ( 4450 – 4000 ) = 4900

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