India ascending

India’s Sensex displays a bullish ascending triangle above long-term support at 20200. Breakout above resistance at 21200 would signal an advance to 22000*. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term selling pressure typical of a consolidation. Completion of a trough above zero would indicate long-term selling pressure.


* Target calculation: 21000 + ( 21000 – 20000 ) = 22000

ASX 200 bullish ascending triangle

The weekly chart of the ASX 200 shows the index testing resistance at 4350/4400 in a bullish ascending triangle. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero suggests a primary up-trend. We need to be cautious because of bearish sentiment in the US and Europe but breakout above 4400 would signal the start of a primary up-trend, with an initial advance to 5000*.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4400 + ( 4400 – 3800 ) = 5000

South Africa: JSE threatens breakout

The JSE Overall Index completed a similar reversal to the Brazilian Bovespa, with a break above 31500. We can now see a similar ascending triangle below 33000. Upward breakout is likely and would signal a fresh advance to 37000*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow confirms buying pressure.

JSE Overall Index

* Target calculation: 33 + ( 33 – 29 ) = 37

Gold finds support

Spot gold penetrated short-term support at $1800/ounce and is testing the medium-term level at $1750. Compare the two declines in the current triangle/consolidation, however, and buying pressure (accumulation) is evident. It took two days for price to fall to $1750 during August, with two strong red candles one below the other. On the second downward leg, candle bodies often overlap and it has taken more than two weeks to reach the same target. Recovery above $1830 would signal another test of $1900 and confirm the bullish ascending triangle. Failure of support at $1750, however, would complete a double top, warning of a correction to $1600*.

Spot Gold

* Target calculation: 1900 + ( 1900 – 1700 ) = 2100 and 1750 – ( 1900 – 1750 ) = 1600