Bill Dudley, former FRBNY Pres and Goldman Sachs Chief US Economist says the Fed will have to drive up unemployment to keep inflation in check. When the Fed has done that in the past it has always resulted in a recession. Bond yields will have to rise and stocks will have to fall in order for the Fed to succeed in taming inflation.
Hat tip to Joseph Wang.
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.