A hanging man candlestick on the weekly chart warns of increasing selling pressure as the ASX 200 approaches resistance at 6000.
Respect of 6000 is likely and reversal below 5650 would confirm the primary down-trend. Resolution of the US-China trade dispute or announcement of another massive Chinese stimulus could avert the bear market, but don’t hold your breath. Breach of support would offer a target of the 2016 low at 4700.
I have been cautious on Australian stocks, especially banks, for a while, and hold 40% cash in the Australian Growth portfolio.
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.