Capital inflows into the Australian Dollar are causing problems for competitiveness of local manufacturing, education and tourism. Professor Warwick McKibbin told The Australian Financial Review:
When a portfolio shift into Australian currency is observed, the exchange rate change should be completely offset so the shock only affects the money markets rather than the real economy. If the shock cannot be observed precisely then the central bank should ‘lean against the wind’, that is intervene to slow down the extent of appreciation of the exchange rate.
via McKibbin urges RBA to tame $A.
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
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