10-Year Treasury yields broke medium-term support at 1.55 percent, indicating another decline. Breach of support at 1.45 percent would confirm, offering a target of 1.20 percent*. Latest stats from the Fed show holdings of Treasury notes and bonds fell over the last week, so the fall is not due to “Operation Twist”. Declining yields suggest that the current stock market rally is likely to fail: money is flowing out of stocks and into bonds. Recovery above 1.70 percent is unlikely but would suggest another stock market rally.
* Target calculation: 1.45 – ( 1.70 – 1.45 ) = 1.20
hi colin. thanks for the information. may i ask how to obtain the 10 yr treasury note data from IC please? not sure where it is in the menu…thanks
lol, found it !
just put $tnx in the search, with us equities and index as the exchange.
thanks all the same.
had a good signal to go long t bonds 5 days ago
colins chart shows bond yields as bond prices rise yields decline and visa versa
Falling yields offer capital gains on long-tern Treasuries. But watch out for the Fed: QE3 would lift yields.