The S&P 500 continues to test support at 1350/1370 after penetrating its rising trendline. Recovery above 1400 would indicate another advance, but declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns that support is likely to fail, with a correction to 1300. In the longer term, respect of 1300 would indicate the primary up-trend is intact, while failure would signal trend weakness.
The Nasdaq 100 breached its (secondary) rising trendline, indicating a correction back to the primary trendline at 2500. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates selling pressure, but respect of the zero line would suggest that the primary up-trend is intact, presenting a possible buying opportunity for the more adventurous.
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.