UBS Economist Jonathan Anderson: Beijing has relied on super-low wages to win a bigger slice of global exports…….But for the past 24 months….China’s share of low-end light manufacturing imports into the U.S. and European Union “has peaked” at around 50% of those markets. In the U.S. market, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia and Mexico are picking up market share at China’s expense. In the EU, it’s those Asian nations along with Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary.
Look for growth in these markets: Vietnam, Bangladesh(?), Indonesia, Mexico, Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary.