Little bounce in China

The Shanghai Composite Index followed through below 2620 Monday, after breaking primary support at 2650 Friday, to confirm a primary down-trend. The index fell to 2500 before recovering weakly to 2527 by the close. HongKong fared slightly better, with the Hang Seng Index initially falling to 20000 but recovering to test 20500 by the close. Target for the down-swing is the 2010 low of 19000*.

* Target calculation: 22000 – ( 25000 – 22000 ) = 19000

Similarly, the Dow Jones HongKong Index broke support at 445 to signal a primary down-trend. Target for the down-swing is the 2010 low of 365.

Dow Jones HongKong Index

* Target calculation: 445 – ( 510 – 445 ) = 380