Canada: TSX60 resistance

The TSX 60 respected resistance at 700 on the weekly chart. Penetration of the descending trendline suggests that a bottom is forming, but failure to break 700 would mean a re-test of primary support at 640. Money Flow remains strong but formation of a peak below zero on 63-day Twiggs Momentum would warn of continuation of the primary down-trend.

TSX 60 Index

Canada: TSX60 buying pressure

The TSX 60 is testing resistance at 700 on the weekly chart. Penetration of the descending trendline suggests that a bottom is forming. Oscillation of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow above zero indicates buying pressure. Follow-through above 700 would test primary resistance at 730. Reversal below 680 is unlikely, but would re-test primary support at 640.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 730 + ( 730 – 640 ) = 820

Canada: TSX60 rising

The TSX 60 broke resistance at 685 on the weekly chart, penetrating the descending trendline to signal that a bottom is forming. Bullish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum suggests reversal to an up-trend. Breakout above the 2012 high of 730 would confirm.

TSX 60 Index

Canada: TSX60 rising broadening wedge

The TSX 60 continues in a rising broadening wedge on the daily chart. Thomas Bulkowski warns these are bearish formations, ending with a downward breakout almost 3 out of 4 times. That would threaten primary support at 640 and a decline to 600*. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow warns of short-term selling pressure. Respect of support at 640, however, would suggest a rally to 720.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 640 – ( 680 – 640 ) = 600

Canada: TSX60 rising broadening wedge

The TSX 60 continues in a rising broadening wedge consolidation rather than a trend channel. Thomas Bulkowski observes that these formations end with a downward breakout 73 per cent of the time. That would threaten primary support at 640 and a decline to 600*. A 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero, however, indicates buying pressure. Respect of support at 640 would suggest a rally to 720. And breakout above 720 would offer a target of 800*.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 640 – ( 680 – 640 ) = 600

Canada: TSX60 rising wedge

The TSX 60 is in a rising broadening wedge consolidation rather than a trend channel. Downward breakout would threaten primary support at 640 and another decline, while penetration of the descending trendline would suggest that a bottom is forming. Rising 63-day Twiggs Money Flow also indicates that a bottom is forming — especially if we see recovery above zero.

TSX 60 Index

Canada: TSX 60 hesitancy

Short, overlapping candles indicate hesitancy on Canada’s TSX 60 index. Reversal below the lower channel at 650 would warn of another primary down-swing — confirmed if primary support at 640 is broken. Respect of the lower channel, however, would indicate a rally to the upper channel border. 21-Day Twiggs Money Flow is rising but breach of the trendline would warn that buying pressure is easing.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 640 – ( 680 – 640 ) = 600

Canada: TSX 60 tests primary support

Canada’s TSX 60 index is headed for another test of primary support at 640. Failure of support would signal a primary decline to 560*. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum is rising but respect of the zero line would warn of a strong down-trend.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 640 – ( 720 – 640 ) = 560

Canada: TSX 60

Canada’s TSX 60 index is headed for a test of medium-term resistance at 675. Breakout would also breach of the descending trendline, warning that the correction is over. Rising 21-day Twiggs Money Flow reflects medium-term buying pressure.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 680 + ( 680 – 640 ) = 720

US and Canada: bull trap?

The S&P 500 retracement breached support at 1330, indicating a false breakout. Reversal of 21-day Twiggs Money Flow below zero would warn of a bull trap, while breach of support at 1270 would confirm another decline — with a target of 1160*.

S&P 500 Index

* Target calculation: 1260 – ( 1360 – 1260 ) = 1160

Nasdaq 100 monthly chart shows an intact up-trend despite slowing momentum. Respect of support at 2400 (and the zero line by 63-day Twiggs Momentum) would indicate another primary advance.  Penetration of the rising trendline, however, would warn that a top is forming.

Nasdaq 100 Index

* Target calculation: 2800 + ( 2800 – 2400 ) = 3200

Canada’s TSX 60 shows similar weakness, on the daily chart, to the S&P 500. Rising 21-day Twiggs Money Flow, however, indicates support at 640. Respect would suggest that a bottom is forming — strengthened if the index recovers above the declining trendline. Breach of support, on the other hand, would signal a decline to 600*.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 640 – ( 680 – 640 ) = 600