TSX 60 threatens breakout

Canada’s TSX 60 continues to test resistance at 740. Follow-through above 745 would indicate a long-term advance to 800*. A trough above zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow would signal strong buying pressure. Reversal below 725 is unlikely, but would warn of another correction.

TSX 60

* Target calculation: 740 + ( 740 – 680 ) = 800

TSX 60 VIX below 15 remains in bull territory.

TSX 60 VIX

TSX threatens reversal

Canada’s TSX 60 index encountered strong resistance at 740 and is now testing short-term support at 725. Failure of support at 725 would indicate another test of primary support at 710. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of a reversal. Breach of primary support would confirm.

TSX 60

TSX 60 VIX crossed to above 15, but remains in bull territory.

TSX 60 VIX

TSX 60 bearish divergence

Canada’s TSX 60 index is testing long-term resistance at 740, but bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Reversal below 730 would indicate another test of primary support at 710. Failure of support would signal a primary down-trend.

TSX 60

The VIX below 15, however, continues to reflect low market risk.

TSX 60 VIX

Canada: TSX60 edging lower

The TSX 60 is edging lower and likely to test its medium-term trendline around 680. Another 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would signal a primary up-trend.  Breakout above 725 would confirm.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 725 + ( 725 – 640 ) = 810

Canada: TSX60 testing support

The TSX 60 continues to test support at 695/700. Failure would signal a correction to 680 and the rising trendline, while respect of support would indicate another test of 718. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow peak below zero warns of medium-term selling pressure, but the long-term (13-week) indicator remains bullish and completion of a higher (21-day) trough, by recovery above zero, would reflect the return of buyers.  Breakout above 718 would indicate a primary up-trend, while follow-through above the 2012 high at 725 would strengthen the signal.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 725 + ( 725 – 640 ) = 810

Canada: TSX60 finds support

The TSX 60 found support at 700, with 13-week Twiggs Money Flow — oscillating above zero — reflecting continued long-term buying pressure. Expect a test of the 2012 high at 725; breakout would signal a primary up-trend. Reversal below 700 is unlikely but would warn of another test of primary support at 640.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 725 + ( 725 – 640 ) = 810

Canada: TSX60 tests 700

The TSX 60 is testing support at 700. Respect would indicate an advance to the 2012 high of 725, but failure would warn of another test of primary support at 640. I do not place much faith in the broadening wedge formation: narrow wedges tend to behave like trend channels. Rising 63-day Twiggs Momentum suggests a primary up-trend but we need a trough above zero to strengthen the signal. And only breakout above 725 would confirm.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 725 + ( 725 – 640 ) = 810

Canada: TSX60 tests support

The TSX 60 is retracing to test support at 700. Respect would indicate an advance to the 2012 high of 725. Rising 63-day Twiggs Momentum suggests a primary up-trend; a trough above zero would strengthen the signal. Only breakout above 725 would confirm.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 725 + ( 725 – 640 ) = 810

Canada: TSX60 wedge

The TSX 60 is headed for the upper channel of its broadening wedge at 725 on the daily chart. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Retreat below 700 would warn of a swing to the lower wedge border.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 700 + ( 700 – 640 ) = 760

Canada: TSX60 retraces

The TSX 60 retraced to test its new support level at 700 on the daily chart. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Retreat below 694 would warn of a bull trap; follow-through below 680 would confirm. Respect of 694 is unlikely, but would confirm a primary advance to 760*.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 700 + ( 700 – 640 ) = 760