HongKong sell-off accelerates

Dow Jones HongKong Index reversed below 400, warning of another down-swing. The secondary trendline and declining 63-day Momentum indicate that the sell-off is accelerating.

Dow Jones HongKong Index

* Target calculation: 400 – ( 450 – 400 ) = 350

Weekly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index shows a primary down-swing to test support at 2300*. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero would warn of rising selling pressure. Failure of support would test the 2008 low of 1700.

Shanghai Composite Index

* Target calculation: 2650 – ( 3000 – 2650 ) = 2300

The sell-off in Asian markets will impact on others with a strong mining sector: Australia, Brazil, South Africa and Canada.

Shanghai Composite confirms down-trend

The Shanghai Composite Index respected resistance at 2650, confirming the primary down-trend. Expect a test of 2350. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow reversal below zero would warn of rising selling pressure. In the long term, failure of support at 2350 would offer a target of 1600*.

Shanghai Composite Index

* Target calculation: 2400 – ( 3200 – 2400 ) = 1600

Monday’s long tail on the Hang Seng Index and higher volume indicate short-term support at 19000. Expect a rally to test the recent high at 20500.

Hang Seng Index

* Target calculation: 19000 – ( 22000 – 19000 ) = 16000

China commits to down-trend

The Dow Jones Shanghai Index reversed below primary support at 328, confirming the primary down-trend signal from the Shanghai Composite Index. The 21-day Momentum peak barely above zero strengthens the bear signal.

Dow Jones Shanghai Index

* Target calculation: 330 – ( 360 – 330 ) = 300

Dow Jones HongKong Index broke short-term support at 415, indicating a down-swing to its 2010 low at 365. The longer-term 63-day Momentum below zero strengthens the bear signal.

Dow Jones HongKong Index

* Target calculation: 415 – ( 445 – 415 ) = 385