India Singapore short-term buying

The DJ Total Stock Market (formerly DJ Wilshire) Index for India ($DWIN) gapped down on Monday’s open but closed with a long tail. Short-term buying is unlikely to withstand concerted selling pressure, signaled by 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 1820 – ( 1980 – 1820 ) = 1660

DJ Singapore also closed with a long tail, indicating short-term buying support — confirmed by higher volume. Again this is unlikely to withstand long-term selling pressure for more than a few days.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 220 – ( 240 – 220 ) = 200

Bovespa and JSE weaken

The bear rally on the Brazilian Bovespa Index has run out of steam and we can expect another test of support at 48000. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero signals continued selling pressure. Failure would offer a target of 38000*.

Brazil Bovespa Index

* Target calculation: 48000 – ( 58000 – 48000 ) = 38000

The JSE bear rally respected resistance at 30000. Money Flow is stronger, but reversal below 28000 would offer a target of 26000*.

JSE Overall Index

* Target calculation: 28000 – ( 30000 – 28000 ) = 26000

FTSE 100 tests support

The FTSE 100 Index is testing support at 5000. Breakout is likely and would offer a target of 4400*.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5000 – ( 5600 – 5000 ) = 4400

Nasdaq breaks support

The Nasdaq 100 broke support at 2050, warning of a down-swing to 1900*. Follow-through below last week’s low of 2040 would confirm. The latest peak on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow, barely breaking the zero line, indicates strong medium-term selling pressure.

Nasdaq 100 Index

* Target calculation: 2050 – ( 2200 – 2050 ) = 1900

The Dow is headed for a similar test: follow-through below 10600 would confirm a down-swing to 9600*. Higher volumes indicate the presence of buyers and failure of support would prove seller’s dominance.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 10800 – ( 12000 – 10800 ) = 9600

The S&P 500 is testing support at 1100 on the weekly chart. Failure would signal a test of 1000. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of further selling pressure.

S&P 500 Index

* Target calculation: 1125 – ( 1250 – 1125 ) = 1000