UK & Europe correction

Dow Jones Europe Index respected resistance at 260, suggesting another correction. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term selling pressure; but a trough that respects the zero line would signal a primary up-trend. Respect of support at 240 would also suggest an up-trend.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

The FTSE 100 is headed for a test of support at 5600. Respect of support would confirm the primary up-trend, as would a 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5500 + ( 5700 – 5100 ) = 6300

Europe hesitates

Dow Jones Europe Index retreated below 260, indicating a correction to test support at 247. Respect would indicate a healthy up-trend, while a fall below 240 would signal reversal. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates long-term buying pressure, suggesting continuation of the up-trend.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

The FTSE 100 is also retracing to test support, at 5600. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates long-term buying pressure. Respect of the long-term trendline would signal continuation of the primary up-trend.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5700 + ( 5700 – 5100 ) = 6300

Europe on the rise

Dow Jones Europe Index broke through 260 to signal a primary up-trend. Respect of the zero line by 13-week Twiggs Money Flow confirms strong buying pressure. Target for the advance is 310*.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

Italy’s MIB Index reflects a similar pattern, signaling an advance to 21000*.

FTSE MIB Index

* Target calculation: 17000 + ( 17000 – 13000 ) = 21000

The FTSE 100 is already in a primary up-trend. A trough high above zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates strong buying pressure and a likely breakout above resistance at 6100.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5700 + ( 5700 – 5000 ) = 6400

The DAX shows similar strong buying pressure and breakout above the 2011 high of 7500 is likely.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 6400 + ( 6400 – 5400 ) = 7400

Europe: Signs of a revival

Europe shows signs of a revival. Dow Jones Europe Index is testing resistance at 260. Breakout would signal a primary up-trend. Respect of the zero line by 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates long-term buying pressure. Target for the advance would be 310*.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

FTSE 100 Index shows even stronger buying pressure on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow. Expect the correction to respect support at 5600, followed by an advance to 6100.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5700 + ( 5700 – 5200 ) = 6200

UK & Europe: Italy threatens breakout

Italy’s MIB Index is testing resistance at 17,000 after several weeks narrow consolidation — signaling continuation of the up-trend. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure.

MIB Index

* Target calculation: 17,000 + ( 17,000 – 14,000 ) = 20,000

Germany’s DAX is testing medium-term resistance at 7000. Upward breakout is likely and would indicate a test of 7500*.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 6500 + ( 6500 – 5500 ) = 7500

The FTSE 100 Index also encountered resistance — as indicated by short candles below 6000 over the past four weeks and the triangle pattern on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow. Breakout above 6100 would signal a fresh primary advance, while reversal below the rising trendline would warn of a correction to primary support at 5000.

FTSE 100 Index

* Long-term target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5000 ) = 7000

UK & Europe: Selling pressure

The FTSE 100 is running into resistance at 6000 — note the short weekly candles and bearish divergence on (medium-term) 21-day Twiggs Money Flow. Expect retracement to test the new band of support between 5600 and 5700. The primary trend, however, remains upward; so the target of 6100 is unchanged.

FTSE 100 Index

Germany’s DAX has also run into medium-term selling pressure, but remains in a strong primary up-trend with a target of 7500*.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 6500 + ( 6500 – 5500 ) = 7500

Italy’s MIB Index is not yet in a primary up-trend, but narrow consolidation below 17000 suggests an upward breakout. Medium-term selling pressure is evident, however, even on the long-term 13-week Twiggs Money Flow, and failure of support at 16,000 would warn of another test of the primary band at 13,000 – 13,500.

MIB Index

* Target calculation: 17000 + ( 17000 – 14000 ) = 20000

UK and Europe

The FTSE 100 is retracing to test the new support level at 5750. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Reversal below 5600 would warn of a bull trap, while respect would confirm the primary up-trend.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5750 + ( 5750 – 5100 ) = 6400

Dow Jones Europe Index is consolidating below resistance at 260. Penetration of the descending trendline suggests that a bottom is forming. Breakout above 260 would signal a primary advance to 310*, while reversal below 240 and the rising trendline would warn of another test of primary support at 210.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

Europe: UK and Germany signal bull market

The FTSE 100 broke through resistance at 5750 to signal a primary up-trend. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure. Target for the initial advance is 6300*.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5700 + ( 5700 – 5100 ) = 6300

Germany’s DAX also signals a primary up-trend, with a target of 7400* for the initial advance.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 6400 + ( 6400 – 5400 ) = 7400

Italy’s MIB index lags behind, but breakout above 17000 would give a similar signal, with a target of 20000*.

FTSE MIB Index

* Target calculation: 17000 + ( 17000 – 14000 ) = 20000

UK & Europe

Dow Jones UK index retreated below support/resistance (the lighter shaded candle reflects an incomplete week) at the October 2011 high, suggesting a bull trap. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of strong selling pressure.

DJ UK Index


The FTSE 100 shows a similar bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below the zero line would strengthen the bull trap signal.

FTSE 100 Index


Dow Jones Europe index is testing medium-term support at 240. Breach of the green ascending trendline would warn of another test of primary support at 210 — as would 63-day Twiggs Momentum respecting the zero line.

DJ Europe Index

European markets

The FTSE 100 is testing resistance at 5750 but bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Respect of resistance would suggest another test of primary support at 5050. Upward breakout is less likely, but would indicate an advance to 6300*.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5700 + ( 5700 – 5100 ) = 6300

The DAX is testing resistance at 6400. Breakout would indicate an advance to 7400*, but reversal of  below the rising trendline — or 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero — would warn of another test of primary support at 5000.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 6400 + ( 6400 – 5400 ) = 7400

Italy’s MIB Index is more hesitant than the DAX. Breakout above 17000 would signal a primary advance, but failure of support at 13000 would indicate a decline to 9000*. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero would warn of increased selling pressure.

FTSE MIB Index

* Target calculation: 13 – ( 17 – 13 ) = 9