The ASX 200 retreated more than 2.0% Monday after the Cyprus deposit grab unsettled financial markets. Expect another test of support at 4980. Breakout would warn of a correction, while recovery above 5150 would signal an advance to 5500*. Declining 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term selling pressure.
* Target calculation: 5000 + ( 5000 – 4500 ) = 5500
Dow Jones Japan Index dropped about 1.5%. Follow through below short-term support would indicate no more than retracement to the rising trendline.
Dow Jones Hong Kong Index has fallen about 2.0% so far. Breach of support at 472 signals a correction.
Dow Jones Singapore Index has fallen 1.0% in the morning and we can expect further weakness in the p.m.
European markets are likely to open lower. If the US follows and finishes the day with a weak close, negative sentiment could start to feed on itself, tipping global markets into a correction. Overall, the primary trend in the US and Australia remains positive.