The Dow is headed for the band of support between 10600 and 10800 — a real acid-test. Support is likely to fail unless we see a substantial increase in volume, indicating buying support. Breach of 10600 would confirm another down-swing with a target of 10000*.
* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000
Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied, suggesting a second higher low above primary support at 10600/10800. Expect a test of 11900/12000, but this does not mean the bear market is about to reverse. We are still in the early “denial stage” of the bear market, identified by sporadic bargain-hunting, high volatility and a general lack of direction. Declining volume indicates a lack of enthusiasm from buyers and sellers. Failure of primary support would change that, leading to a sharp fall to 10000*.
* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied Tuesday on fairly light volume. Expect resistance at 11500. This is a bear market, with reactions to good news likely to be short — and declines from bad news severe. Target for the next decline is 10000*.
* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000
