Europe hesitates

Dow Jones Europe Index retreated below 260, indicating a correction to test support at 247. Respect would indicate a healthy up-trend, while a fall below 240 would signal reversal. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates long-term buying pressure, suggesting continuation of the up-trend.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

The FTSE 100 is also retracing to test support, at 5600. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates long-term buying pressure. Respect of the long-term trendline would signal continuation of the primary up-trend.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5700 + ( 5700 – 5100 ) = 6300

Europe follows through

Dow Jones Europe Index followed through above Friday’s high of 262, confirming the breakout and signaling a primary advance to 310*. Rising 21-day Twiggs Momentum signals a strong trend. Immediate target for the breakout is 270, then expect further retracement to test the new (260) support level.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 250 ) = 270;  260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

The Hourly chart gives a more detailed perspective, with a sharp fall to test support at 260 followed by a surge through resistance at 262. 24-Hour Twiggs Momentum holding above zero reflects a healthy (secondary/medium-term) rally.

Dow Jones Europe Index Hourly Chart

Europe on the rise

Dow Jones Europe Index broke through 260 to signal a primary up-trend. Respect of the zero line by 13-week Twiggs Money Flow confirms strong buying pressure. Target for the advance is 310*.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

Italy’s MIB Index reflects a similar pattern, signaling an advance to 21000*.

FTSE MIB Index

* Target calculation: 17000 + ( 17000 – 13000 ) = 21000

The FTSE 100 is already in a primary up-trend. A trough high above zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates strong buying pressure and a likely breakout above resistance at 6100.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5700 + ( 5700 – 5000 ) = 6400

The DAX shows similar strong buying pressure and breakout above the 2011 high of 7500 is likely.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 6400 + ( 6400 – 5400 ) = 7400

Europe: Signs of a revival

Europe shows signs of a revival. Dow Jones Europe Index is testing resistance at 260. Breakout would signal a primary up-trend. Respect of the zero line by 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates long-term buying pressure. Target for the advance would be 310*.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

FTSE 100 Index shows even stronger buying pressure on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow. Expect the correction to respect support at 5600, followed by an advance to 6100.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5700 + ( 5700 – 5200 ) = 6200

UK and Europe

The FTSE 100 is retracing to test the new support level at 5750. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Reversal below 5600 would warn of a bull trap, while respect would confirm the primary up-trend.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5750 + ( 5750 – 5100 ) = 6400

Dow Jones Europe Index is consolidating below resistance at 260. Penetration of the descending trendline suggests that a bottom is forming. Breakout above 260 would signal a primary advance to 310*, while reversal below 240 and the rising trendline would warn of another test of primary support at 210.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

UK & Europe

Dow Jones UK index retreated below support/resistance (the lighter shaded candle reflects an incomplete week) at the October 2011 high, suggesting a bull trap. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of strong selling pressure.

DJ UK Index


The FTSE 100 shows a similar bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below the zero line would strengthen the bull trap signal.

FTSE 100 Index


Dow Jones Europe index is testing medium-term support at 240. Breach of the green ascending trendline would warn of another test of primary support at 210 — as would 63-day Twiggs Momentum respecting the zero line.

DJ Europe Index

Dow Jones Europe

Even Europe is showing signs of life, with Dow Jones Europe Index breaking medium-term resistance at 240 to signal a test of 260. Breach of the descending trendline would suggest a bottom is forming. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero would strengthen the signal. In the long-term, breakout above 260 would complete a double-bottom reversal with a target of 310*.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

S&P 500 and DJ Europe

The S&P 500 index is headed for medium-term support at 1160. 21-Day Twiggs Money Flow warns of (medium-term) selling pressure. If support at 1160 fails, primary support at 1075/1100 is unlikely to hold — offering a target of 900*. Reversal below the rising trendline on 63-day Twiggs Momentum would indicate continuation of the primary down-trend.

S&P 500 Index

* Target calculation: 1100 – ( 1300 – 1100 ) = 900

Dow Jones Europe index is also headed for primary support, at 205. Failure is likely and would offer a target of 160*. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero would warn of rising selling pressure.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 210 – ( 260 – 210 ) = 160

Europe weakens

A monthly chart of Dow Jones Europe shows the index testing primary support at 210. A peak below zero on 63-day Twiggs Momentum indicates a strong primary down-trend. Failure of support would offer a medium-term target of 160*.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 210 – ( 260 – 210 ) = 160

Italy’s MIB Index is headed for another test of primary support at 13000 on the weekly chart. Respect of the descending trendline suggests another primary decline. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero would also warn of rising selling pressure. And breach of primary support would signal a decline to 9000*.

Italian MIB Index

* Target calculation: 13 – ( 17 – 13 ) = 9

The UK’s FTSE 100 index is also headed for a test of primary support at 4800. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum peaking below zero indicates a strong primary down-trend. Failure of primary support would offer a target of 4000*.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 4800 – ( 5600 – 4800 ) = 4000

Europe warns of another decline

Dow Jones Europe Index is headed for a test of the band of support between 200 and 205. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero would warn of a strong primary down-trend. Failure of primary support would offer a target of 150*.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 205 – ( 260 – 205 ) = 150