Europe strengthening

The FTSE 100 found support at 5600 and is headed for a test of primary resistance at 6000/6100. Rising 13-week  Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure. Expect strong selling at resistance but breakout would offer a long-term target of 6750*.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5250 ) = 6750

Dow Jones Europe Index is headed for a test of primary resistance at 260/265. Breach of the descending trendline indicates a bottom. Bullish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum suggests a primary up-trend, but only a trough above zero, or breakout above 265, would confirm.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

European buying pressure

The FTSE 100 is testing medium-term support at 5700. Respect would test resistance at 6000/6100*, while failure would warn of a correction. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero would strengthen the bull signal. Breakout above 6100 is still some way off but would offer a long-term target of 6750.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5900 + ( 5900 – 5700 ) = 6100

Dow Jones Europe Index is consolidating below 250 after breaking resistance at 240. Follow-through above 250 would signal an advance to the 2012 high of 265. Bullish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum suggests a primary up-trend, but this would require a trough above zero — or breakout above 265 on the weekly chart — to confirm.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

Europe and Footsie recovering

Madrid General Index is testing resistance at 720. Breakout would complete a double bottom, offering a target of 840*.  Bullish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum indicates a resurgence, but we are some way off a recovery above zero which would signal a primary up-trend.

Madrid General Index

Dow Jones Europe Index displays a strong bullish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum, indicating a (primary trend) reversal. Recovery above zero would strengthen the signal. Penetration of the descending trendline would suggest a test of resistance at 265.

Dow Jones Europe Index

The FTSE 100 is headed for a test  resistance at 6000. A trough at zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow suggests buying pressure but expect strong resistance at 6000 because of the number of previous reversals at this level.

FTSE 100 Index

Europe: Selling pressure

Dow Jones Europe Index is testing the long-term descending trendline at 240 but 13-week Twiggs Money Flow failure to cross above zero warns of strong selling pressure. Breakout below primary support at 210 would indicate a decline to 180*.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 210 – ( 240 – 210 ) = 180

Narrowing 63-Day Twiggs Momentum (around zero) on the FTSE 100 suggests a ranging market. Respect of resistance at 5750 would test primary support at 5250, while breakout would indicate an advance to 6000.

FTSE 100 Index

UK & Europe momentum rising

Dow Jones Europe Index is headed for a test of the long-term descending trendline at 240. Upward breakout would support the bullish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum, indicating a primary up-trend. Breakout above 265 would confirm. Respect of resistance at 240, however, would warn of another test of primary support at 210.

Dow Jones Europe Index

The FTSE 100 penetrated its descending trendline, suggesting that a bottom is forming. Retracement that respects support at 5250 would confirm. Recovery of 63-Day Twiggs Momentum above zero would also favor an up-trend.

FTSE 100 Index

UK & Europe

The FTSE 100  is headed for resistance at 5600 but 21-day Twiggs Money Flow reversed below zero warning of short-term selling pressure. Failure of support at 5400 would mean another test of primary support at 5250, while respect would confirm the rally to 5600. In the longer term, breach of the descending trendline (at 5600) would indicate that the down-trend has ended.

FTSE 100 Index

Dow Jones Europe Index rallied off primary support at 210. Breach of medium-term resistance at 230 would suggest a rally to the primary descending trendline. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow, however, continues to display long-term selling pressure. Breach of primary support would offer a long-term target of 160*. Breakout above 265 is unlikely but would indicate an advance to 310*.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310; 210 – ( 260 – 210 ) = 160

UK & Europe

Dow Jones Europe Index is testing long-term support at 210. Failure would signal a decline to the 2009 low of 150*. Declining 63-day Twiggs Momentum (below zero) already warns of a primary down-trend, while 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates strong selling pressure.

Dow Jones Europe Index
Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 210 – ( 270 – 210 ) = 150

The FTSE 100 index is retracing to test resistance at 5600. Respect would indicate another primary decline — to test 5000 — while breach of medium-term support at 5250 would confirm. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum below zero already warns of a primary down-trend. A peak below the zero line would further strengthen the signal.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5300 – ( 5600 – 5300 ) = 5000

UK & Europe warn of primary down-trend

Dow Jones Europe Index broke medium-term support at 240, warning of another test of primary support at 210. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum warns of a primary down-trend. Failure of support would confirm.

Dow Jones Europe Index

The FTSE 100 broke medium-term support at 5600, indicating another test of primary support at 5000/5050. Breach of the rising trendline and retreat of 63-Day Twiggs Momentum below zero both warn of a primary down-trend. Failure of primary support would confirm.

FTSE 100 Index

UK & Europe: Madrid in trouble

The monthly chart of the Madrid General Index highlights the extent of Spain’s problems, with the index breaking support at 750 and headed for its 2009 low of 700. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below the zero line warns of a strong down-trend. Failure of 700 would signal a decline to 600*.

Madrid General Index

* Target calculation: 750 – ( 900 – 750 ) = 600

The broader Dow Jones Europe Index is undergoing a correction on the weekly chart. The sharp fall on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Failure of medium-term support at 240 is likely and would suggest another test of primary support at 210. Respect of support is unlikely but would indicate that the primary up-trend is intact.

Dow Jones Europe Index

The FTSE 100 is testing support at 5600. Respect would confirm the primary up-trend, indicating an advance to 6400*.
A 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above the zero line would signal continued buying pressure. Failure of support, however, would warn that the up-trend is weakening.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5600 ) = 6400

UK & Europe correction

Dow Jones Europe Index respected resistance at 260, suggesting another correction. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term selling pressure; but a trough that respects the zero line would signal a primary up-trend. Respect of support at 240 would also suggest an up-trend.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

The FTSE 100 is headed for a test of support at 5600. Respect of support would confirm the primary up-trend, as would a 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 5500 + ( 5700 – 5100 ) = 6300