ASX at resistance as Asia consolidates

India’s Sensex retreated from its 2007 and 2010 highs at 21000 and is testing support at 20500. Respect would signal a primary advance with a target of 24000*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow suggests medium-term buying pressure. Reversal below 20500 is less likely, but would warn of a correction to 19500 and possibly primary support at 18000.

Sensex

* Target calculation: 21000 + ( 21000 – 18000 ) = 24000

Dow Jones Japan index is proving resilient, headed for another test of resistance at 82. Breakout would signal an advance to 90*. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum is declining, but has so far respected the zero line, suggesting the primary up-trend is intact. Completion of a trough above zero would strengthen the signal. Reversal below the rising trendline is unlikely but would warn of another test of primary support at 74.

Dow Jones Japan index

* Target calculation: 82 + ( 82 – 74 ) = 90

Dow Jones Shanghai Index is rallying to test resistance at 282 after finding support at 270. Respect of resistance is likely and breach of 270 would signal a test of primary support at 245/250. Twiggs Momentum oscillating around the zero line indicates uncertainty.

DJ Shanghai Index

The ASX 200 is consolidating in a narrow range below resistance at 5450 — a bullish sign. Upward breakout would signal an advance to 5600*. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow, however, continues to warn of selling pressure. Reversal below 5300, penetrating the rising trendline, would signal a correction.

ASX 200

* Target calculation: 5450 + ( 5450 – 5300 ) = 5600

Australia: ASX 200 and Shanghai find support

The ASX 200 found short-term support at 4350. Expect a rally to test the declining trendline at 4450 but this does not indicate the end of the correction. The 21-day Twiggs Money Flow peak below zero reflects medium-term selling pressure. Respect of resistance at 4450 would signal another decline.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 4450 + ( 4450 – 4000 ) = 4900

Dow Jones Shanghai Index broke its September low of 249 but rallied strongly towards the close. Bullish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure. Follow-through above 250 would indicate a rally to the October high of 266.
DJ Shanghai Index

India, Singapore and China

India’s Sensex index retraced to test the new support level at 17500. The primary trend remains downward but respect of support at 17500 would confirm a rally to the descending trendline. Bullish divergence followed by a cross to above zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying support.

BSE SENSEX Index

* Target calculation: 17 + ( 17 – 16 ) = 18

The Singapore Straits Times Index is testing the band of resistance at 2900/2950. Respect would indicate another test of primary support at 2500, while breakout would offer a target of 3300*.  63-Day Twiggs Momentum below zero indicates that the index is still in a primary down-trend.
Singapore Straits Times Index

* Target calculation: 2900 +( 2900 – 2500 ) = 3300

Dow Jones Shanghai Index is advancing to resistance at 330 and the descending trendline. Respect would indicate another primary decline, with a target of 250*, while breakout would signal that a bottom is forming.

DJ Shanghai Index

* Target calculation: 290 – ( 330 – 290 ) = 250

Shanghai confirms bear market

Dow Jones Shanghai Index breached support at 320, confirming the earlier signal at failure of 330. Reversal of  13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of rising selling pressure.

Dow Jones Shanghai Index

* Target calculation: 330 – ( 390 – 330 ) = 270