Tag: Canada

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Tariff Pause

MEXICO CITY/WASHINGTON/OTTAWA, Feb 3 (Reuters) – U.S. President Donald Trump suspended his threat of steep tariffs on Mexico and Canada on Monday, agreeing to a 30-day pause in return for concessions on border and crime enforcement with the two neighboring countries.

U.S. tariffs on China are still due to take effect within hours.

Both Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said they had agreed to bolster border enforcement efforts in response to Trump’s demand to crack down on immigration and drug smuggling. That would pause 25% tariffs due to take effect on Tuesday for 30 days.

Mexico

Canada

Theatrics

The pause gives Canada and Mexico 30 days to reduce their exposure to the U.S. economy. Otherwise, the whole cycle of abuse begins again.

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Shots fired in parliament building, Ottawa [video]

The suspect had apparently already shot and killed a reservist soldier standing guard at the National War Memorial.

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Poroshenko: ‘Today Ukraine is bleeding for its independence and territorial integrity’

From Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko’s speech to the Canadian parliament in Ottawa on September 17:

Today Ukraine pays a very high price for defending what we believe in – democracy and freedom to choose our own future. For more than two decades we proudly stated that Ukraine gained its independence without shedding a single drop of blood.

Today Ukraine is bleeding for its independence and territorial integrity.

Read more at Poroshenko: 'Today Ukraine is bleeding for its independence and territorial integrity' VIDEO.

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Canadian housing bubble looks ripe for popping | Toronto Star

Adam Peterson writes the Canadian housing bubble is headed for a “slow-motion” crash:

My gravest concern is that Canada is fast approaching a 5:1 home-price-to-income ratio, a benchmark achieved by the U.S. at the peak in 2006. Since the correction, the U.S. ratio now hovers at approximately 3:1.

To compound the problem, household debt in Canada has breached 150 per cent of income and continues in the wrong direction; households are not cushioned against a blow.

Australian household debt is also hovering around 150% of disposable income.

Australian household debt to disposable income

While the price-to-income ratio varies between 4 and more than 6 depending on whether you use national averages or median data.
Australian house price-to-income ratio

Read more at Canadian housing bubble looks ripe for popping | Toronto Star.

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Canada TSX: Momentum trades

Bullish

  • New Zealand Energy [NZ] ~ respected support at $3.00; breakout above $3.80 would confirm another primary advance.
  • Rio Alto Mining [RIO] ~ narrow consolidation favors breakout above $4.70, signaling a new advance; support at $4.30.
  • Roxgold [ROG] ~ good support at $1.90, breakout above $2.15 would signal a new advance.

Watch for breakout

  • Tri-Oil Resources A [TOL] ~ narrow consolidation between $3.50 and $3.80 but strong bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow
  • Argonaut Gold [AR] ~ strong resistance at $10.00, support at $9.00
  • Atna Resources [ATN] ~ support at $1.25, resistance at $1.50.
  • Northern Graphite [NGC] ~ 21-day Twiggs Money Flow below zero is bearish but ascending triangle below $2.20, breakout would signal a fresh advance.
  • Pretium Resources [PVG] ~ breakout above $18.00 would signal continuation
  • TAG Oil [TAO] ~ testing resistance at $10.00
  • Americas Petrogas [BOE] ~ testing support at $4.00, respect would favor breakout above $4.50 and a fresh advance.

Americas Petrogas [BOE]

  • Coastal Energy [CEN] ~ recovered above $20.00, follow-through above $21.00 would confirm a fresh advance.

Americas Petrogas [BOE]

Negative Watch

  • Silvercrest Mines [SVL] ~ strong bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow followed by sharp drop to test support at $2.50.
  • Madalena Ventures [MVN] ~ long correction, headed for test of $1.00.
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Canada’s Household Debt Is Rising – WSJ.com

OTTAWA—Increased household debt in Canada, underpinned by rising house prices and low interest rates, poses a key domestic risk to financial stability, the Bank of Canada said on Thursday.

The finding, contained in the central bank’s quarterly economic review, was the latest in a series of warnings from economists and Canadian officials that high consumer borrowing has emerged as one of the economy’s biggest risks. Household debt stood at over 150% of personal disposable income as of the third quarter of last year, the report noted.

via Canada’s Household Debt Is Rising – WSJ.com.

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Canada TSX 60

The TSX 60 index is headed for a test of the descending trendline and resistance at 720 on the weekly chart. Upward breakout would signal a primary advance to 790* and the end of the bear market. Respect of zero by 13-week Twiggs Money Flow would strengthen the signal, indicating strong buying pressure.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 720 + ( 720 – 650 ) = 790

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Loonie rallies

Canada’s Loonie also responded to rising commodity prices with a rally to test resistance at $1.01. Breakout remains unlikely, but would offer a long-term target of $1.07. The probability would increase if 63-day Twiggs Momentum recovers above zero.

CADUSD

* Target calculation: 1.01 + ( 1.01 – 0.95 ) = 1.07

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Oil touches new 2011 low – Business – CBC News

The price of oil, Canada’s biggest commodity export, reached a new 2011 low Tuesday.

November oil slipped as much as $74.95 US a barrel, its lowest since September of 2010. It recovered somewhat, but still closed down $1.94 at $75.67 on the New York Mercantile Exchange, its third straight day of losses.

Crude rose to three-year highs this year, but the reasons often cited for that increase — fears of growing Middle East tensions, rising Chinese demand, bullish views from investment banks and expectations of an aggressive U.S. stimulus plan — have diminished.

Other market watchers have suggested the price gained solely because of rampant speculation on the commodities markets.

via Oil touches new 2011 low – Business – CBC News.

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TSX60

TSX 60 Index is testing resistance at 725/735. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow oscillating around zero indicates hesitancy. Resistance is likely to hold and reversal below the week’s low at 700 would warn of another test of support at 650/660. In the medium term, failure of support would offer a target of 580*.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 650 – ( 720 – 650 ) = 580

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