Australia: ASX 200

The ASX 200 index respected its rising trendline on the weekly chart, indicating continuation of the advance to test 4400. Breakout above 4400 would indicate the start of a primary up-trend, while recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero would strengthen the signal.

ASX 200 Index Weekly

* Target calculation: 4400 + ( 4400 – 4000 ) = 4800

Bullish divergence on the daily chart shows medium-term buying pressure signaled by 21-day Twiggs Money Flow. Breakout above 4300 would indicate a test of 4400.

ASX 200 Index

China & Hong Kong

The Shanghai Composite Index broke out of its descending trend channel, indicating that a bottom is forming. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum, however, remains a long way below zero, indicating weakness. Look for a retracement to test support at 2150.

Shanghai Composite Index


Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index displays a strong up-trend since breaking resistance at 20,000. Expect retracement to test the new support level, but buying pressure, best illustrated by the strong rise on (medium-term) 21-day Twiggs Money Flow, is likely to prevail.

Hang Seng Index

* Target calculation: 20000 + ( 20000 – 18000 ) = 22000

Japan & South Korea

Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index broke through resistance at 9000 to offer a weak primary up-trend signal: there is no higher trough on the weekly chart. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero supports the trend change, but wait for retracement to test the rising trendline.

Nikkei 225 Index

* Target calculation: 9000 + ( 9000 – 8000 ) = 10000

The Seoul Composite Index is stronger, having already completed a higher trough. Target for the primary advance is 2150*. A 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough that respects the zero line would further strengthen the signal.

Seoul Composite Index

* Target calculation: 1950 + ( 1950 – 1750 ) = 2150

Canada: TSX 60 and potential breakouts

The TSX 60 index is consolidating in a narrow band between 700 and 715. Upward breakout is likely and would signal a primary up-trend. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero would strengthen the signal. Target for the initial advance is 790.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 720 + ( 720 – 650 ) = 790

A screen of stocks with low Momentum but high buying pressure, as indicated by 21-day Twiggs Money Flow, reveals a list of 93 potential breakouts (after filtering out stocks with daily Value/Turnover traded of less than $1 million). Husky Energy [HSE], Crew Energy [CR] and Bank of Nova Scotia [BNS] are three that look interesting.

India Singapore breakout

India’s Nifty Index broke through resistance at 5400, following breakout from its downward trend channel, to signal the start of a primary up-trend. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero strengthens the signal.

NSE/S&P Nifty Index

* Target calculation: 5400 + ( 5400 – 4600 ) = 6200

The Sensex Index broke through 18000 to confirm the Nifty signal, following an earlier bullish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow. Target for the advance is 21000*.

BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 18000 + ( 18000 – 15000 ) = 21000

Singapore Straits Times Index cleared resistance at 2900, signaling a primary up-trend. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero strengthens the signal. Expect retracement to test the new support level.

Singapore Straits Times Index

* Target calculation: 2900 + ( 2900 – 2600 ) = 3200

Europe Reaches a Greek Deal – WSJ.com

Greece ended months of uncertainty as it secured a new bailout and debt-restructuring agreement during a marathon negotiating session of euro-zone finance ministers, but the deal leaves unanswered questions about whether Greece will be able to meet the terms of the accord……

Officials said the meeting, which lasted nearly 13 hours, produced a plan that would reduce Greece’s debt to just over 120% of gross domestic product by 2020.

via Europe Reaches a Greek Deal – WSJ.com.

Yen breaks 5-year trend

The US Dollar broke its 5-year down-trend against the Japanese Yen. Penetration of the descending trendline from 2007 indicates that a bottom is forming. Breakout above resistance at ¥80 would signal the start of a primary up-trend, with an initial target of ¥86, confirming the long-term bullish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum.

US Dollar/Japanese Yen

ASX 200 breaks support

The ASX 200 broke through support at 4220 on the hourly chart, signaling a correction to test primary support at 4040. Retracement to test the new resistance level is weak and follow-through below intra-day support at 4180 would confirm the signal.

Index