On the monthly chart, the S&P 500 Index is testing resistance at 1420. A trough above zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure. Breakout above 1420 would signal an advance to the 2007 high at 1560*.
* Target calculation: 1420 + ( 1420 – 1280 ) = 1560
The Nasdaq 100 is similarly testing resistance at 2800 on the weekly chart. Breakout would offer a target of 3150*. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero indicates continuation of the primary up-trend.
* Target calculation: 2800 + ( 2800 – 2450 ) = 3150
10-Year Treasury Yields recovered above initial resistance at 1.70 percent. Expect an attempt at the primary level of 2.40 percent. The Fed purchased $5 billion of Treasury notes/bonds (nominal) and MBS last week; so they are not the cause of the rise. Investors appear to be flowing out of Treasuries and driving stocks higher.
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.
We certainly are in good company, it is pleasing to see Incredible charts featured in Percy Allan’s article ‘Is the bear market turning? in the Eureka Report. I use the Coppock indicator extensively.
Curtesy:
http://www.eurekareport.com.au/article/2012/8/20/shares/bear-market-turning
Thank you for the link