10-Year Treasury yields are headed for a test of resistance at 1.70 percent after recovery above the descending trendline warned of a “bear trap” — actually a bull trap because yields are the inverse of price. Follow-through above 1.60 percent has confirmed, and breakout above 1.70 would signal an advance to 2.0 percent* — a bullish sign for stocks.
* Target calculation: 1.70 + ( 1.70 – 1.40 ) = 2.00
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.