The S&P 500 is testing support at 1350 after penetrating its rising trendline. Failure of support would indicate a correction with an initial target of 1300. Respect of 1300 — and of the zero line by 13-week Twiggs Money Flow — would signal that the primary up-trend is intact and may present a buying opportunity for the more adventurous.
On the daily chart, recovery of the S&P 500 above 1400 would suggest a new primary advance, while breach of support at 1350 would signal a correction. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term selling pressure.
A similar (21-day Twiggs Money Flow) bearish divergence on the Nasdaq 100 warns of a correction. Breach of the rising trendline strengthens the signal. Follow-through below 2700 would confirm, offering an initial target of 2400.
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.