Brent Crude broke support at $122/barrel, warning of a correction to test $115. Respect of $115 or a 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above the zero line would signal a strong primary up-trend. In the long term, breakout above $126 would offer a target of $150/barrel*.
* Target calculation: 125 + ( 125 – 100 ) = 150
The broader CRB Commodities Index is headed for a test of primary support at 295 after breaching the long-term rising trendline. Failure of support would signal a decline to 265*. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below the zero line already indicates continuation of the primary down-trend.
* Target calculation: 295 – ( 325 – 295 ) = 265
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.
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