China’s Shanghai Composite Index broke support at 2300, suggesting continuation of the primary down-trend. Failure of primary support at 2150 would confirm the signal, offering a target of 1800*. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero indicates continuation of the primary down-trend.
* Target calculation: 2150 – ( 2500 – 2150 ) = 1800
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index, however, is correcting to test medium-term support at 20000. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero indicates a primary up-trend. Respect of the rising trendline would confirm, offering an initial target of 23000*.
* Target calculation: 21500 + ( 21500 – 20000 ) = 23000
Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.