Monthly charts help fit the current market action into a long-term perspective. The Nikkei 225 index broke support at 9000 and is likely to test the 2009 low of 7000*. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum respecting the zero line (from below) confirms the primary down-trend.
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* Target calculation: 9000 – ( 11000 – 9000 ) = 7000
The Seoul Composite found (primary) support at 1650/1700, followed by a reaction to 1900. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Respect of resistance at 1900 is likely, which would indicate another test of primary support.
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* Target calculation: 1700 – ( 1900 – 1700 ) = 1500
The Shanghai Composite index is testing support at 2400. Failure would confirm the strong primary down-trend signaled by declining 63-day Twiggs Momentum.
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* Target calculation: 2500 – ( 3500 – 2500 ) = 1500
The Hang Seng index is retracing to test resistance at 20000. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Respect of resistance, would indicate another test of 16000.
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* Target calculation: 16 – ( 20 – 16 ) = 12
India’s SENSEX is headed for a test of resistance at 17500/18000 after a small bullish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicated buying pressure. Respect of 18000 would warn of another test of 16000.
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* Target calculation: 16 – ( 18 – 16 ) = 14
Singapore’s Straits Times Index is in a similar position. Respect of resistance at 2900 would signal another test of 2500. Failure of support would confirm the strong primary down-trend signaled by declining 63-day Twiggs Momentum.
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* Target calculation: 2500 – ( 2900 – 2500 ) = 2100