Brazil’s Bovespa Index again found short-term support at 54000. Narrow consolidation is a bullish sign, suggesting upward breakout above 58000. Rising 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure. This is a strong rally for a bear market, but is not a sign yet that a base is forming.
South Africa’s Johannesburg Overall Index also made a reasonable rally before retreating below 30000. Penetration of the rising trendline would indicate another test of support at 28400.
The JSE Overall Index retreated below the former primary support level of 30000, strong volume [R] warning of selling pressure. Breach of the rising trendline would indicate another test of support at 28400. Failure of support would offer a target of 26000*, but this is not yet a foregone conclusion, with an up-tick in volume [S] indicating some buying support.
* Target calculation: 28.5 – ( 31 – 28.5 ) = 26
The bear rally on the Brazilian Bovespa Index has run out of steam and we can expect another test of support at 48000. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero signals continued selling pressure. Failure would offer a target of 38000*.
* Target calculation: 48000 – ( 58000 – 48000 ) = 38000
The JSE bear rally respected resistance at 30000. Money Flow is stronger, but reversal below 28000 would offer a target of 26000*.
* Target calculation: 28000 – ( 30000 – 28000 ) = 26000
