Germany’s DAX is broke support at 9600, warning of a correction to 9000 — and a weakening primary up-trend. Decline of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero reflects (long-term) selling pressure. Breach of primary support at 8900/9000 would signal a primary down-trend. Recovery above 9800/10000 is unlikely at present, but would indicate another advance.
* Target calculation: 9750 + ( 9750 – 9000 ) = 10500
Deutsche Post AG (y_DPW.DE) serves as a bellwether for European markets. Deutsche Post DHL couriers holds a similar position to that of Fedex in US markets. The stock broke support at 24.00/25.00, completing a rounding top. Decline of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero reflects (long-term) selling pressure. Target for the breakout is 20.00*. A down-trend warns of slowing economic activity.
* Target calculation: 24 – ( 28 – 24 ) = 20
Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50 is retracing to test support at 3000/3100. Breach of support would suggest a decline to 2500 as indicated on the monthly chart. Respect of support, however, would indicate another advance.
* Target calculation: 3150 + ( 3150 – 3000 ) = 3300
A quarterly chart shows the Footsie consolidating in a long-term triangle below its previous high of 6950. Ascending triangles favor an upward breakout, but I would be cautious with the current outlook for Europe. Reversal below 6650 would warn of a correction to 6400/6500.
* Target calculation: 6900 + ( 6900 – 6500 ) = 7300