ASX and Asia fall

The ASX 200 retreated more than 2.0% Monday after the Cyprus deposit grab unsettled financial markets. Expect another test of support at 4980. Breakout would warn of a correction, while recovery above 5150 would signal an advance to 5500*. Declining 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term selling pressure.
ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 5000 + ( 5000 – 4500 ) = 5500

Dow Jones Japan Index dropped about 1.5%. Follow through below short-term support would indicate no more than retracement to the rising trendline.
Dow Jones Japan Index
Dow Jones Hong Kong Index has fallen about 2.0% so far. Breach of support at 472 signals a correction.
Dow Jones Hong Kong Index
Dow Jones Singapore Index has fallen 1.0% in the morning and we can expect further weakness in the p.m.
Dow Jones Singapore Index

European markets are likely to open lower. If the US follows and finishes the day with a weak close, negative sentiment could start to feed on itself, tipping global markets into a correction. Overall, the primary trend in the US and Australia remains positive.

India & Singapore

Dow Jones India 30 Titans broke resistance at 162 and is headed for a test of the descending trendline at 170. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow suggests buying pressure and a test of the February high at 180; breakout would signal a primary up-trend.

Dow Jones India 30 Titans

* Target calculation: 180 + ( 180 – 150 ) = 210

Dow Jones Singapore Index rallied off support at 220 and is testing medium-term resistance at 230. Breakout would test the March high of 244. A “bounce” off  zero by 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure.

Dow Jones Singapore Index

* Target calculation: 245 + ( 245 – 220 ) = 270

India & Singapore

India’s Sensex found short-term support at 16000, but 21-day Twiggs Money Flow below zero indicates continued selling pressure. Breach of 16000 would test the band of primary support at 15000.

BSE Sensex Index

The Nifty similarly found short-term support at 4800, but 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero warns of a continuing primary down-trend. Failure of the 4800 level would test primary support at 4500.

NSE Nifty Index

Dow Jones Singapore Index found short-term support at 222 — the 61.8% Fibonacci level. Expect a rally to test 230 but respect would warn of a decline to test primary support at 203. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum crossed below zero, warning of a primary down-trend.

Dow Jones Singapore Index

India & Singapore

India’s Sensex broke the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 16500, indicating a test of primary support at 15000. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of strong selling pressure. Failure of support at 15000 would offer a target of 12000*.

BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 15 – ( 18 – 15 ) = 12

The Nifty is similarly headed for a test of primary support at 4500. Failure would confirm the primary down-trend indicated by 63-day Twiggs Momentum reversal below zero.

NSE Nifty Index

Singapore’s Straits Times Index broke medium-term support at 2900. The primary trend is still up but expect a test of support at the rising trendline (2800). Failure of support and reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would both warn of a primary down-trend.

Singapore Straits Times Index

Dow Jones Singapore Index is similarly testing medium-term support at 230. Failure would indicate a test of the primary level at 210. Declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure; reversal below zero would have long-term implications.

Dow Jones Singapore Index